Sport Picks
Hibernians vs Kercem Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Malta
FA Trophy 2022/2023 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola 
Match Events
11'
11'
Grech J.
15'
15'
Degabriele J.
23'
23'
Diakite A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 8-0, with Hibernians advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kercem Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Hibernians haven't matched Kercem Ajax's recent run of results.
- Hibernians are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hibernians, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 16%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hibernians | Kercem Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2023 FA Trophy
Hibernians vs Kercem Ajax
8:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hibernians Compare
Top Goalscorer Grech J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Degabriele J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Kercem Ajax Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hibernians 41 / 100
Kercem Ajax 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hibernians Kercem Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kercem Ajax conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Hibernians's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Kercem Ajax has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hibernians VS Kercem Ajax
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hibernians
(Home) 20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4 Floriana
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Hibernians
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1 Zabbar
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0 Hibernians
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4 Floriana
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1 Zabbar
24 Apr
Hibernians
2 : 0 Mosta FC
18 Apr
Hibernians
0 : 0 Birkirkara
Page 1 of 4
Kercem Ajax
(Away) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0
