Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HIFK vs HPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Toolon Pallokentta, Helsinki
HIFK Logo

HIFK

1 - 1
FT
HPS Logo

HPS

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Valto O.
39' Event
Erikson Carlos
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Puro E. In: Kyllonen L.
Out: Puro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HIFK and HPS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
HIFK
35%
Draws
19%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HIFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS haven't matched HIFK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans HIFK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
HIFK Clean Sheet 10%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HIFK HPS
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.57 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HIFK vs HPS
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs HIFK
5:5
May 22, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HIFK vs HPS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HIFK Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Alatalo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HIFK 47 / 100
HPS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HIFK HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HIFK scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: HPS conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Solid form: HIFK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HIFK VS HPS
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HIFK

(Home)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
28 Aug
Atlantis
1 : 2
HIFK
22 Aug
PEPO
5 : 1
HIFK
15 Aug
HIFK
3 : 5
Atlantis
08 Aug
HIFK
2 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
Page 1 of 6

HPS

(Away)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 2
HPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 20 13 3 4 44:29 42
2 PEPO 20 11 6 3 37:24 39
3 Atlantis 20 10 3 7 63:46 33
4 HIFK 20 8 7 5 42:35 31
5 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 20 6 9 5 38:33 27
6 HPS 20 7 5 8 41:44 26
Promotion - Kakkonen Play Offs 2026 (Main)