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Hilal Alsahil vs Welwalo Adigrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
43' Event
87' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hilal Alsahil
30%
Draws
37%
Welwalo Adigrat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Welwalo Adigrat have won more games recently than Hilal Alsahil.
  • Welwalo Adigrat are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Welwalo Adigrat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hilal Alsahil, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hilal Alsahil Clean Sheet 26%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal Alsahil Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 13
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.22 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hilal Alsahil
3:1
Sep 4, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Hilal Alsahil vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal Alsahil 30 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal Alsahil Welwalo Adigrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Hilal Alsahil found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Hilal Alsahil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Welwalo Adigrat conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hilal Alsahil VS Welwalo Adigrat
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hilal Alsahil

(Home)
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
06 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 1
Al Merreikh II
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0
Umm Mughad
Page 1 of 6

Welwalo Adigrat

(Away)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -