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Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hilal El-Fasher play Hay Al Wadi in the Premier League. Hilal El-Fasher are favorites here. Recently, Hilal El-Fasher averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Hay Al Wadi averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Hilal El-Fasher won 3, Hay Al Wadi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hilal El-Fasher and 1.00 for Hay Al Wadi. This points to a Hilal El-Fasher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hilal El-Fasher
25%
Draws
15%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Hilal El-Fasher picked up more points recently compared to Hay Al Wadi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 23%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Jan 13, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:4
Oct 11, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 59 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Hay Al Wadi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hilal El-Fasher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hilal El-Fasher & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hilal El-Fasher attacking → ← attacking Hay Al Wadi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal El-Fasher scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Hilal El-Fasher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hay Al Wadi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 38
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II770016:121
2Al-Merreikh II760121:418
3Hilal Alsahil732210:611
4Madani732213:1111
5Umm Mughad730410:159
6Hilal El-Fasher71244:75
7Hay Al Wadi71246:145
8Alfalah Atbra70072:240