Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hilal El-Fasher vs Al Fajr

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hilal El-Fasher
44%
Draws
20%
Al Fajr
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hilal El-Fasher have won more games recently than Al Fajr.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fajr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Al Fajr
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al Fajr
2:2
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Fajr vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 36 / 100
Al Fajr 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Al Fajr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fajr has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Hilal El-Fasher scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hilal El-Fasher has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El-Fasher VS Al Fajr
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010