Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Merreikh Obeid in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Merreikh Obeid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hilal El-Fasher
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hilal El-Fasher at 1 per game, Al-Merreikh Obeid at 0.86.
  • Model gives Hilal El-Fasher a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Al-Merreikh Obeid
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:3
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
0:2
Feb 3, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 85 / 100
Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Al-Merreikh Obeid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Al-Merreikh Obeid lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Hilal El-Fasher's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Merreikh Obeid let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El-Fasher VS Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
38% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010