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Hilal El-Fasher vs Zamala Ruwaba

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hilal El-Fasher play Zamala Ruwaba in the Premier League 2025. Zamala Ruwaba are favorites here. Recently, Hilal El-Fasher averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Zamala Ruwaba averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Hilal El-Fasher won 1, Zamala Ruwaba won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hilal El-Fasher and 1.00 for Zamala Ruwaba. This points to a Zamala Ruwaba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Hilal El-Fasher
25%
Draws
60%
Zamala Ruwaba
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zamala Ruwaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Hilal El-Fasher picked up more points recently compared to Zamala Ruwaba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 23%
Zamala Ruwaba Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Zamala Ruwaba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Zamala Ruwaba vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Zamala Ruwaba
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Zamala Ruwaba
1:2
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Zamala Ruwaba vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 18 / 100
Zamala Ruwaba 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Zamala Ruwaba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamala Ruwaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zamala Ruwaba & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hilal El-Fasher attacking → ← attacking Zamala Ruwaba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal El-Fasher scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Zamala Ruwaba let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hilal El-Fasher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zamala Ruwaba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75