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Hill Of Beath vs Musselburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Hill Of Beath at 1.43 goals for, 1.38 against; Musselburgh at 1.63 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Hill Of Beath slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.76) point toward Hill Of Beath. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hill Of Beath
35%
Draws
21%
Musselburgh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hill Of Beath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Musselburgh haven't matched Hill Of Beath's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Hill Of Beath taking it.
  • Hill Of Beath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hill Of Beath, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hill Of Beath Clean Sheet 20%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hill Of Beath Musselburgh
Matches Played 21 24
Wins 12 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Lowland League
Hill Of Beath vs Musselburgh
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hill Of Beath 58 / 100
Musselburgh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hill Of Beath Musselburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hill Of Beath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hill Of Beath's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Hill Of Beath has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Musselburgh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hill Of Beath VS Musselburgh
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hill Of Beath

(Home)
17 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 2
Hill Of Beath
03 Oct
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Glasgow University
26 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 1
Lochee United
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
Page 1 of 5

Musselburgh

(Away)
17 Oct
Broxburn Athletic
0 : 0
Musselburgh
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
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Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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