Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Brajanac M.
Penalty Missed
57' Event
Kolawole J.
Assist: From L.
62'
Sub
Kucukylidiz B. In: Arndal-Lauritzen G.
Out: Kucukylidiz B.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hillerod and Esbjerg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hillerod
44%
Draws
20%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esbjerg come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 11%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Esbjerg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiselberg F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolawole J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 35 / 100
Esbjerg 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Hillerod's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Esbjerg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
31 May
Hillerod
2 : 1
Hvidovre IF
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Esbjerg

(Away)
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
27 Jun
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Vejle
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyngby32186869:3660
2Horsens32159842:2754
3Esbjerg321571045:4352
4Hillerod321311842:4350
5Hvidovre IF321113843:3946
6Kolding IF321081437:4038
Promotion - Superliga (Main)