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Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Hillerod Logo

Hillerod

1 - 1
FT
Esbjerg Logo

Esbjerg

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Brajanac M.
Penalty Missed
57' Event
Kolawole J.
Assist: From L.
62'
Sub
Kucukylidiz B. In: Arndal-Lauritzen G.
Out: Kucukylidiz B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hillerod and Esbjerg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hillerod
20%
Draws
33%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esbjerg come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hillerod taking it.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 12%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Esbjerg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
2:3
May 16, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiselberg F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolawole J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 40 / 100
Esbjerg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Esbjerg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Esbjerg
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

Esbjerg

(Away)
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)