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Hills United vs Bankstown City Lions FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Small J.
70' Event
Urosevski A.
75' Event
Urosevski A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hills United
20%
Draws
35%
Bankstown City Lions FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hills United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bankstown City Lions FC lately — more wins on the board than Hills United.
  • Model gives Hills United a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hills United Clean Sheet 12%
Bankstown City Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hills United Bankstown City Lions FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bankstown City Lions FC
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hills United
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hills United
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bankstown City Lions FC
1:1
May 20, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bankstown City Lions FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hills United Compare

Top Goalscorer Small J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bankstown City Lions FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Urosevski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hills United 38 / 100
Bankstown City Lions FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hills United Bankstown City Lions FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hills United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hills United found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Bankstown City Lions FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hills United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hills United VS Bankstown City Lions FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hills United

(Home)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2
Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2
Bankstown City Lions FC
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Bankstown City Lions FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 9
Bankstown City Lions FC
22 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
5 : 1
Prospect United
15 Aug
Inter Lions
2 : 0
Bankstown City Lions FC
08 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)