Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK Akatemia W vs Lahti W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Valkonen R.
35' Event
Pietikainen I.
58' Event
Oulasvirta O.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between HJK Akatemia W and Lahti W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK Akatemia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
HJK Akatemia W
30%
Draws
34%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HJK Akatemia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK Akatemia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on HJK Akatemia W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 14%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Akatemia W Lahti W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs Lahti W
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs HJK Akatemia W
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs HJK Akatemia W
2:1
May 14, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs Lahti W
5:1
Jul 27, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs HJK Akatemia W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oulasvirta O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pietikainen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Valkonen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK Akatemia W 35 / 100
Lahti W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Akatemia W Lahti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: HJK Akatemia W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

HJK Akatemia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK Akatemia W VS Lahti W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK Akatemia W

(Home)
19 Jul
JyPK W
1 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
09 Jul
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
05 Jul
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 1
ONS Oulu W
30 Jun
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa W
27 Jun
Honka W
1 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
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Lahti W

(Away)
18 Jul
EBK W
1 : 0
Lahti W
12 Jul
Lahti W
1 : 1
TPS W
07 Jul
HJS W
2 : 2
Lahti W
25 Jun
KTP W
2 : 6
Lahti W
14 Jun
Lahti W
1 : 2
Honka W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EBK W17133145:1042
2Honka W17103427:1333
3HJK Akatemia W1784535:2528
4HJS W1783632:2527
5JyPK W1782732:2726
6ONS Oulu W1773724:2224
7Keski-Uusimaa W1762927:3420
8KTP W17501221:4915
9TPS W1727819:3713
10Lahti W17331123:4312
Promotion - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)