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Stadium Background

HJK vs Gnistan

World World

Club Friendly Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mero T.
33' Event
Borchers M.
90' Event
Kirilov M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HJK and Gnistan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HJK
20%
Draws
40%
Gnistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • HJK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
HJK Clean Sheet 17%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Gnistan
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.39 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs HJK
0:3
Mar 10, 2026 Club Friendly
HJK vs Gnistan
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
HJK vs Gnistan
3:1
Nov 3, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs HJK
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Gnistan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borchers M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gnistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 36 / 100
Gnistan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Gnistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HJK scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Gnistan let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

HJK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS Gnistan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
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Gnistan

(Away)
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
Gnistan
4 : 2
Mariehamn
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