Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK Logo

HJK

2 - 1
FT
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Cicale A. In: Mero T.
Out: Cicale A.
35'
Lindholm S.
45'
Gueye M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
HJK
15%
Draws
48%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than VPS.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
HJK Clean Sheet 68%
VPS Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK VPS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.21 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
2:1
May 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
3:1
Sep 20, 2024 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Haarala S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 41 / 100
VPS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HJK scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

VPS has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: HJK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS VPS
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)