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HJK W vs Aland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Sarelius K.
Assist: Kamogawa M.
33' Event
Own Goal
58' Event
Sarelius K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
HJK W
15%
Draws
42%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than Aland United W.
  • Win probability leans HJK W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and HJK W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
HJK W Clean Sheet 12%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W Aland United W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 17
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.6 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
2:1
Jun 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HJK W
2:3
Apr 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
3:2
Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HJK W
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
HJK W vs Aland United W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarelius K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aland United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 40 / 100
Aland United W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aland United W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aland United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS Aland United W
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
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Aland United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)