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HJK W vs Gnistan W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK W Logo

HJK W

5 - 0
FT
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sarelius K.
Assist: Forsten A.
18' Event
Sarelius K.
(Penalty)
33'
Koota V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
HJK W
15%
Draws
0%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HJK W have won more games recently than Gnistan W.
  • Model gives HJK W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
HJK W Clean Sheet 68%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W Gnistan W
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 25 6
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.65 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Gnistan W
6:1
Aug 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HJK W
1:3
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HJK W
0:1
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Gnistan W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarelius K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsten A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 95 / 100
Gnistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Gnistan W has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gnistan W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS Gnistan W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
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Gnistan W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)