Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena

HPS W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W host HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. HPS W have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while HJK W have conceded 0.75 and scored 3.63. Past meetings favor HJK W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.19 - 1.50) back HJK W to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

HJK W

20%

Draws

38%

HPS W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than HPS W.
Win probability leans HJK W's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors HJK W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

HJK W Clean Sheet 16%

HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HJK W	HPS W
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	26	18
Draws	2	4
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	3.63	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	3.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs HJK W

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs HJK W

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 22, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs HPS W

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

5:2

Jul 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs HPS W

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

May 17, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs HJK W

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 41 / 100

HPS W 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HJK W HPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HJK W scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: HJK W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

HPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS HPS W

3.63 Goals Scored 2.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	12	11	0	1	34:9	33
2	KuPS W	12	8	1	3	29:18	25
3	HPS W	12	7	3	2	18:9	24
4	Aland United W	12	7	1	4	32:17	22
5	Ilves W	12	6	0	6	23:23	18
6	Gnistan W	12	4	0	8	19:29	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	12	2	0	10	12:33	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	12	0	1	11	6:35	1