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HJK W vs Ilves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W host Ilves W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: HJK W at 2.59 goals for, 1.06 against; Ilves W at 1.9 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, HJK W have won 5 to Ilves W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 2:5. xG projections (2.44 - 1.56) back HJK W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
HJK W
15%
Draws
34%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
HJK W Clean Sheet 15%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W Ilves W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 27 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.59 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
2:5
Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:2
May 12, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 30 / 100
Ilves W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Ilves W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS Ilves W
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
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Ilves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)