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HK U23 vs Sham Shui Po Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2023/2024
HK U23 Logo

HK U23

1 - 5
FT
Sham Shui Po Logo

Sham Shui Po

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Sham Shui Po advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
HK U23
20%
Draws
50%
Sham Shui Po
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sham Shui Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sham Shui Po come out ahead of HK U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sham Shui Po's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sham Shui Po arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sham Shui Po, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Sham Shui Po Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HK U23 Sham Shui Po
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Sham Shui Po
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Sham Shui Po
1:5
Dec 30, 2023 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
0:5
Dec 17, 2023 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
2:2
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HK U23 10 / 100
Sham Shui Po 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HK U23 Sham Shui Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sham Shui Po Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sham Shui Po has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

HK U23's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: HK U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HK U23 VS Sham Shui Po
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HK U23

(Home)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
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Sham Shui Po

(Away)
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2
Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6
Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2
Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 10 6 4 0 25:10 22
2 Tai Po 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
3 Eastern AA 10 4 5 1 25:14 17
4 Hong Kong FC 10 3 3 4 19:23 12
5 Sham Shui Po 10 2 1 7 15:33 7
6 HK U23 10 1 2 7 11:21 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 26:14 16
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 4 3 1 22:18 15
3 North District 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
4 Resources Capital 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
5 Lee Man Warriors 8 1 2 5 12:17 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)