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HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pedrinho
42'
Alisson
52' Event
Alisson

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HNK Gorica and Shakhtar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
HNK Gorica
30%
Draws
43%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 11%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Shakhtar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar
0:2
Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 27 / 100
Shakhtar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HNK Gorica scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: HNK Gorica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Shakhtar let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Shakhtar
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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Shakhtar

(Away)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
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