Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL South

HNK Zadar

2 - 0

GOSK Dubrovnik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HNK Zadar in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

HNK Zadar

20%

Draws

38%

GOSK Dubrovnik

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HNK Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

HNK Zadar have won more games recently than GOSK Dubrovnik.
Model gives HNK Zadar a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 20%

GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HNK Zadar	GOSK Dubrovnik
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL South

HNK Zadar vs GOSK Dubrovnik

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL South

GOSK Dubrovnik vs HNK Zadar

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 42 / 100

GOSK Dubrovnik 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HNK Zadar GOSK Dubrovnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Zadar's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: GOSK Dubrovnik conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: HNK Zadar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HNK Zadar VS GOSK Dubrovnik

2 Goals Scored 0.83

1.5 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 33%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran Luka Ploce	34	20	5	9	67:28	65
2	Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje	34	18	6	10	56:38	60
3	Hrvace	34	18	6	10	46:39	60
4	HNK Zadar	34	16	11	7	69:28	59
5	Neretva	34	16	7	11	50:36	55
6	RNK Split	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
7	NK Junak Sinj	34	16	4	14	49:46	52
8	Uskok Klis	34	15	6	13	51:54	51
9	Sloga Mravince	34	12	14	8	48:45	50
10	Primorac Biograd	34	14	6	14	60:56	48
11	Zagora	34	12	8	14	47:52	44
12	GOSK Dubrovnik	34	11	10	13	35:34	43
13	Zmaj Makarska	34	11	10	13	28:39	43
14	Neretvanac	34	10	8	16	40:53	38
15	Kamen Podbablje	34	9	10	15	37:51	37
16	Vodice	34	8	9	17	44:73	33
17	Urania Baska Voda	34	10	3	21	33:65	33
18	OSK Otok	34	6	8	20	48:83	26