Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HNK Zadar vs OSK Otok

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between HNK Zadar and OSK Otok finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
HNK Zadar
22%
Draws
18%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: HNK Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • HNK Zadar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HNK Zadar a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 11%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Zadar OSK Otok
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.13 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs OSK Otok
7:0
Oct 27, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs HNK Zadar
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 56 / 100
OSK Otok 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Zadar OSK Otok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSK Otok let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: HNK Zadar scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: HNK Zadar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Zadar VS OSK Otok
2.13 Goals Scored 2.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326