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Ho Chi Minh 2 vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Duy Hao P.
52' Event
Da Silva Victor S.
60' Event
Vu Minh Hieu

AI Match Summary

Xuan Thien Phu Tho in this V.League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xuan Thien Phu Tho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ho Chi Minh 2
6%
Draws
90%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh 2 haven't matched Xuan Thien Phu Tho's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Xuan Thien Phu Tho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ho Chi Minh 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh 2 Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Ho Chi Minh 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva Victor S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Duy Hao P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vu Minh Hieu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 2 10 / 100
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh 2 Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XTH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Xuan Thien Phu Tho conceded in 71% of 24 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ho Chi Minh 2 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh 2 VS Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00