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Ho Chi Minh City vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Nguyen Cong Phuong

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 game between Ho Chi Minh City and Truong Tuoi Dong Nai finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truong Tuoi Dong Nai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ho Chi Minh City
39%
Draws
30%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Truong Tuoi Dong Nai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular V.League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Truong Tuoi Dong Nai here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 13%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh City Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh City
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0:3
Nov 14, 2024 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh City
3:2
Mar 31, 2024 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Cong Phuong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh City 31 / 100
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh City Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ho Chi Minh City's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ho Chi Minh City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh City VS Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00