Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh City vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Nguyen C. T.
26' Event
Duy Hao P.
39' Event
Nji R.

AI Match Summary

Xuan Thien Phu Tho in this V.League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xuan Thien Phu Tho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ho Chi Minh City
17%
Draws
13%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ho Chi Minh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh City have won more games recently than Xuan Thien Phu Tho.
  • Ho Chi Minh City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 68%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh City Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
3:4
Mar 1, 2026 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Ho Chi Minh City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen C. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Duy Hao P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nji R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh City 77 / 100
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh City Xuan Thien Phu Tho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Ho Chi Minh City found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Xuan Thien Phu Tho let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Recent resilience: Ho Chi Minh City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh City VS Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh City

(Home)
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Dong Thap
30 May
Ho Chi Minh 2
0 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
22 May
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
15 May
PVF-CAND B
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
09 May
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 0
Long An
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Xuan Thien Phu Tho

(Away)
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
30 May
PVF-CAND B
2 : 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
22 May
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0 : 2
Dong Thap
16 May
Ho Chi Minh 2
1 : 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
09 May
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
2 : 0
Van Hien
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00
Promotion - V.League 1 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 (Relegation)