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Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Thong Nhat Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Duong Van Khoa
35'
Sub
Le Van Son In: Nguyen Vu Hoang Duong
Out: Le Van Son
37'
Pham Duc Huy

AI Match Summary

The Vietnamese Cup game between Ho Chi Minh and Truong Tuoi Dong Nai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ho Chi Minh
17%
Draws
70%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh haven't matched Truong Tuoi Dong Nai's recent run of results.
  • Truong Tuoi Dong Nai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ho Chi Minh here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
1:0
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
3:3
Jul 9, 2016 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
2:1
May 17, 2016 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh
1:3
Aug 28, 2015 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 14 / 100
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Ho Chi Minh has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ho Chi Minh scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong-
TBD-
Xuan Thien Phu Tho2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
PVF-CAND-
TBD-
Thanh Hoa0
Gia Lai2
Cong An Ha Noi-
TBD-
Viettel1
Hanoi FC0
Khanh Hoa-
Hoa Binh-
Van Hien0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An-
TBD-
Da Nang2
Ho Chi Minh 20
Nam Dinh-
TBD-
Long An2
Quy Nhon United1
Ho Chi Minh-
TBD-
Ho Chi Minh City1
Dong Thap0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai3
Binh Duong1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1
Quang Ninh0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh2
PVF-CAND1
Gia Lai0
Cong An Ha Noi2
Viettel3
Khanh Hoa0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An2
Da Nang3
Nam Dinh2
Long An0
Ho Chi Minh3
Ho Chi Minh City0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh3
PVF-CAND2
Viettel1
Bac Ninh0
Da Nang1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
Viettel1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh1
Ho Chi Minh2