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Ho Chi Minh vs Ho Chi Minh City

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Thong Nhat Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nguyen Tien Linh
43' Event
Williams L.
54' Event
Endrick
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Vietnamese Cup game between Ho Chi Minh and Ho Chi Minh City finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ho Chi Minh
39%
Draws
30%
Ho Chi Minh City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Vietnamese Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ho Chi Minh have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 15%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh vs Ho Chi Minh City
3:0
Mar 31, 2023 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh vs Ho Chi Minh City
1:2
Jan 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Ho Chi Minh City vs Ho Chi Minh
1:4
Sep 11, 2020 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh City vs Ho Chi Minh
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 31 / 100
Ho Chi Minh City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ho Chi Minh went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ho Chi Minh City conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Ho Chi Minh City
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong-
TBD-
Xuan Thien Phu Tho2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
PVF-CAND-
TBD-
Thanh Hoa0
Gia Lai2
Cong An Ha Noi-
TBD-
Viettel1
Hanoi FC0
Khanh Hoa-
Hoa Binh-
Van Hien0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An-
TBD-
Da Nang2
Ho Chi Minh 20
Nam Dinh-
TBD-
Long An2
Quy Nhon United1
Ho Chi Minh-
TBD-
Ho Chi Minh City1
Dong Thap0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai3
Binh Duong1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1
Quang Ninh0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh2
PVF-CAND1
Gia Lai0
Cong An Ha Noi2
Viettel3
Khanh Hoa0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An2
Da Nang3
Nam Dinh2
Long An0
Ho Chi Minh3
Ho Chi Minh City0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh3
PVF-CAND2
Viettel1
Bac Ninh0
Da Nang1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
Viettel1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh1
Ho Chi Minh2