Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Go Dau Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Khong Minh Gia
Own Goal
45' Event
Williams L.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Hoang V. K. In: Le N. H.
Out: Hoang V. K.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Ho Chi Minh and Song Lam Nghe An finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ho Chi Minh
6%
Draws
4%
Song Lam Nghe An
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ho Chi Minh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ho Chi Minh a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 18%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Song Lam Nghe An
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
0:0
May 13, 2024 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raphael Utzig
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 85 / 100
Song Lam Nghe An 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Song Lam Nghe An

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Song Lam Nghe An has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Ho Chi Minh went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Song Lam Nghe An
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324