Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh vs Thanh Hoa

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thong Nhat Stadium, Ho Chi Minh City
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Thongkhamsavath D.
14' Event
Makrillos P.
36'
Makrillos P.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Ho Chi Minh and Thanh Hoa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thanh Hoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ho Chi Minh
15%
Draws
49%
Thanh Hoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thanh Hoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thanh Hoa haven't matched Ho Chi Minh's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ho Chi Minh taking it.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 20%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Thanh Hoa
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Thanh Hoa
1:2
May 4, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Thanh Hoa
2:2
May 8, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Thanh Hoa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Makrillos P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Thanh Hoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Thongkhamsavath D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 42 / 100
Thanh Hoa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Thanh Hoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thanh Hoa let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ho Chi Minh's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Thanh Hoa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Thanh Hoa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
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Thanh Hoa

(Away)
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
23 May
Thanh Hoa
1 : 1
Gia Lai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)