Sport Picks

Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Thong Nhat Stadium, Ho Chi Minh City

Ho Chi Minh

1 - 0

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Our Tip

Match Events

Duong Van Khoa

35'

Sub

Le Van Son In: Nguyen Vu Hoang Duong

Out: Le Van Son

37'

Pham Duc Huy

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ho Chi Minh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Ho Chi Minh

17%

Draws

70%

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ho Chi Minh haven't matched Truong Tuoi Dong Nai's recent run of results.
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ho Chi Minh, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Ho Chi Minh here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ho Chi Minh	Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	19
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Vietnamese Cup

Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

1:0

Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly

Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

3:3

Jul 9, 2016 V.League 2

Ho Chi Minh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

2:1

May 17, 2016 V.League 2

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh

1:3

Aug 28, 2015 V.League 2

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Ho Chi Minh

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 14 / 100

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ho Chi Minh Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ho Chi Minh remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ho Chi Minh scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

1 Goals Scored 2.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)

14 Jun

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

1 : 2

Ho Chi Minh

11 Jun

Nam Dinh

2 : 4

Ho Chi Minh

07 Jun

Hanoi FC

1 : 1

Ho Chi Minh

31 May

Ho Chi Minh

1 : 1

Viettel

23 May

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

1 : 1

Ho Chi Minh

Page 1 of 6

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

(Away)

06 Jun

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

1 : 0

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

30 May

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

3 : 0

Long An

22 May

Ho Chi Minh City

0 : 1

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

16 May

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

3 : 0

Van Hien

08 May

Bac Ninh

2 : 1

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/16-finals

Hai Phong-

TBD-

Xuan Thien Phu Tho2

Phu Dong Ninh Binh4

PVF-CAND-

TBD-

Thanh Hoa0

Gia Lai2

Cong An Ha Noi-

TBD-

Viettel1

Hanoi FC0

Khanh Hoa-

Hoa Binh-

Van Hien0

Bac Ninh1

Song Lam Nghe An-

TBD-

Da Nang2

Ho Chi Minh 20

Nam Dinh-

TBD-

Long An2

Quy Nhon United1

Ho Chi Minh-

TBD-

Ho Chi Minh City1

Dong Thap0

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai3

Binh Duong1

Hong Linh Ha Tinh1

Quang Ninh0

1/8-finals

Hai Phong1

Phu Dong Ninh Binh2

PVF-CAND1

Gia Lai0

Cong An Ha Noi2

Viettel3

Khanh Hoa0

Bac Ninh1

Song Lam Nghe An2

Da Nang3

Nam Dinh2

Long An0

Ho Chi Minh3

Ho Chi Minh City0

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai2

Hong Linh Ha Tinh0

Quarter-finals

Phu Dong Ninh Binh3

PVF-CAND2

Viettel1

Bac Ninh0

Da Nang1

Nam Dinh2

Ho Chi Minh1

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai0

Semi-finals

Phu Dong Ninh Binh4

Viettel1

Nam Dinh2

Ho Chi Minh4

Final

Phu Dong Ninh Binh1

Ho Chi Minh2