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Hobart City vs New Town Eagles

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hobart City
40%
Draws
29%
New Town Eagles
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hobart City lately — more wins on the board than New Town Eagles.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%
New Town Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart City New Town Eagles
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs New Town Eagles
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs Hobart City
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs Hobart City
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs New Town Eagles
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs Hobart City
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart City 30 / 100
New Town Eagles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart City New Town Eagles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobart City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hobart City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

New Town Eagles has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hobart City VS New Town Eagles
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U211391362:2028
2Olympia Warriors1391337:2028
3Hobart City1374235:2425
4New Town Eagles1365239:1723
5Clarence Zebras U211371536:3222
6Taroona1363444:1921
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania1331927:4810
9Glenorchy Knights U211322931:498
10South East United U2160066:500