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Hobart City vs South Hobart U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Hobart City host South Hobart U21 in the Tasmania Southern Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Hobart City at 2.63 goals for, 1.5 against; South Hobart U21 at 5 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Hobart City have won 3 to South Hobart U21's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 3.25, favoring South Hobart U21. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hobart City
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hobart City.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Hobart U21.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tasmania Southern Championship provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart City South Hobart U21
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 17 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.63 5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
5:3
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
1:2
May 25, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart City
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart City
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart City 10 / 100
South Hobart U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart City South Hobart U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobart City scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

South Hobart U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Hobart City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

South Hobart U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart City VS South Hobart U21
2.63 Goals Scored 5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U211281359:2025
2Olympia Warriors1281334:2025
3New Town Eagles1265139:1423
4Hobart City1264231:2222
5Taroona1263343:1621
6Clarence Zebras U211261533:3119
7Hobart United1332825:6111
8University of Tasmania1331927:4810
9Glenorchy Knights U211222831:468
10South East United U2160066:500