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Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

0 - 3
FT
Aarhus Fremad Logo

Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Callo L.
Assist: Agnarsson M.
56' Event
Riisgaard L.
Assist: Andersen K.
63'
Sub
Kirchheiner M. In: Ryberg M.
Out: Kirchheiner M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hobro and Aarhus Fremad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hobro
22%
Draws
18%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hobro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hobro come out ahead of Aarhus Fremad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hobro's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hobro Clean Sheet 68%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
1:2
May 14, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Callo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riisgaard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 68 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarhus Fremad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hobro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Aarhus Fremad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
18 Jul
Hamburger II
1 : 2
Hobro
11 Jul
Hobro
4 : 0
Middelfart
04 Jul
Horsens
2 : 0
Hobro
30 May
Hobro
3 : 2
Middelfart
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
17 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
16 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Brabrand
08 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 0
Silkeborg
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)