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Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

0 - 3
FT
Aarhus Fremad Logo

Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Callo L.
Assist: Agnarsson M.
56' Event
Riisgaard L.
Assist: Andersen K.
63'
Sub
Kirchheiner M. In: Ryberg M.
Out: Kirchheiner M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hobro and Aarhus Fremad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hobro
30%
Draws
47%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — Hobro are scoring more at 1.45.
  • Win probability leans Aarhus Fremad's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hobro Clean Sheet 12%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
1:2
May 14, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Callo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riisgaard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 22 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aarhus Fremad has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Hobro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Aarhus Fremad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)