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Stadium Background

Hobro vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

1 - 2
FT
Koge Logo

Koge

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Thomsen T.
(Penalty)
44'
Sogaard E.
45'
Dietz F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Koge in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Koge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hobro
15%
Draws
0%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hobro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hobro have won more games recently than Koge.
  • Hobro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hobro Clean Sheet 68%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Koge
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:1
Jul 18, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
2:0
May 22, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Gothler A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 95 / 100
Koge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hobro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Koge registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hobro scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Koge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Koge
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
08 Aug
Hobro
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
05 Aug
Hobro
0 : 4
Vendsyssel FF
02 Aug
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 2
Hobro
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
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Koge

(Away)
15 Aug
Koge
0 : 2
Hvidovre IF
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)