Sport Picks

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Hoceima vs Maghreb Fez

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez in this Botola 2 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hoceima
20%
Draws
47%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maghreb Fez lately — more wins on the board than Hoceima.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maghreb Fez have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Hoceima Clean Sheet 19%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoceima Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2020 Botola 2
Hoceima vs Maghreb Fez
0:1
Oct 27, 2019 Botola 2
Maghreb Fez vs Hoceima
3:0
Apr 1, 2016 Botola Pro
Hoceima vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Nov 14, 2015 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Hoceima
1:0
Feb 22, 2015 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Hoceima
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoceima 32 / 100
Maghreb Fez 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoceima Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoceima scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hoceima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maghreb Fez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maghreb Fez
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoceima

(Home)
09 Oct
Dcheira
3 : 1
Hoceima
05 Oct
Hoceima
2 : 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
28 Sept
Sale
0 : 0
Hoceima
22 Sept
Hoceima
1 : 0
Chabab Benguerir
21 Aug
Ittihad Khemisset
0 : 1
Hoceima
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Maghreb Fez

(Away)
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
28 Jun
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
25 Jun
Wydad Athletic
0 : 1
Maghreb Fez
21 Jun
Maghreb Fez
1 : 2
Berkane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chabab Mohammedia 30 14 9 7 38:26 51
2 Maghreb Fez 30 13 13 4 40:25 50
3 Dcheira 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 RAC Casablanca 30 10 16 4 27:18 46
5 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 12 9 9 25:21 45
6 Widad Temara 30 9 14 7 31:31 41
7 Wydad Fes 30 9 13 8 29:27 40
8 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 10 9 11 27:33 39
9 Ittihad Khemisset 30 9 9 12 40:43 36
10 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 30:33 36
11 TAS Casablanca 30 8 11 11 29:34 35
12 Kawkab Marrakech 30 7 12 11 28:31 33
13 Sale 30 6 15 9 25:30 33
14 Chabab Benguerir 30 7 12 11 26:32 33
15 Sidi Kacem 30 6 14 10 28:34 32
16 Hoceima 30 6 9 15 24:40 27
Promotion - Botola Pro 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2020/2021 (Main)