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Hodd 2 vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Holte S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2024 game between Hodd 2 and Aalesund 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hodd 2
15%
Draws
57%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalesund 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aalesund 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hodd 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hodd 2 Aalesund 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Hodd 2
3:1
May 18, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Hodd 2 vs Aalesund 2
0:1
Jul 11, 2022 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Hodd 2
3:1
May 15, 2022 Division 3 - Group 2
Hodd 2 vs Aalesund 2
1:2
Aug 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Aalesund 2 vs Hodd 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hodd 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Holte S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hodd 2 10 / 100
Aalesund 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hodd 2 Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hodd 2 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Aalesund 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aalesund 2
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hodd 2

(Home)
27 Oct
Spjelkavik
0 : 1
Hodd 2
20 Oct
Hodd 2
2 : 4
Molde 2
05 Oct
Skedsmo
6 : 0
Hodd 2
28 Sept
Hodd 2
0 : 5
Bjorkelangen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
25 Jul
Aalesund 2
4 : 2
Orkla
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