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Stadium Background

Hodonin vs FK Frydek-Mistek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Stadion U Cervenych domku, Hodonin
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Jager T.
(Penalty)
32'
Kedron D.
44'
Bialek D.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL game between Hodonin and FK Frydek-Mistek finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hodonin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hodonin
20%
Draws
38%
FK Frydek-Mistek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hodonin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FK Frydek-Mistek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hodonin Clean Sheet 20%
FK Frydek-Mistek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hodonin FK Frydek-Mistek
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 3. MSFL
Hodonin vs FK Frydek-Mistek
3:0
May 29, 2026 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Hodonin
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 3. MSFL
Hodonin vs FK Frydek-Mistek
2:1
Mar 26, 2025 3. MSFL
Hodonin vs FK Frydek-Mistek
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Hodonin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hodonin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambor D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jager T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

FK Frydek-Mistek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hodonin 31 / 100
FK Frydek-Mistek 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hodonin FK Frydek-Mistek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hodonin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hodonin found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Frydek-Mistek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hodonin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hodonin VS FK Frydek-Mistek
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hodonin

(Home)
03 Oct
Hlubina
1 : 4
Hodonin
26 Sept
Hodonin
2 : 0
Vsetin
20 Sept
Brno B
0 : 1
Hodonin
12 Sept
Hodonin
0 : 1
SK Hranice
06 Sept
Karvina B
1 : 0
Hodonin
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FK Frydek-Mistek

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
27 Sept
Polanka nad Odrou
1 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
19 Sept
FK Frydek-Mistek
0 : 0
Havirov
12 Sept
Uhersky Brod
1 : 3
FK Frydek-Mistek
05 Sept
FK Frydek-Mistek
1 : 1
Unicov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
2 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
3 Unicov 11 7 2 2 22:14 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 11 6 3 2 19:10 21
5 Sigma Olomouc B 11 6 1 4 20:13 19
6 SK Hranice 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
7 Vitkovice 11 4 4 3 12:9 16
8 Hlubina 11 4 3 4 26:22 15
9 Slovacko B 11 4 3 4 16:12 15
10 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
11 Zlin B 11 4 3 4 13:16 15
12 Hodonin 11 4 2 5 14:13 14
13 Nove Mesto na Morave 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
14 Karvina B 11 3 2 6 15:21 11
15 Vsetin 11 3 1 7 11:24 10
16 FK Blansko 11 1 5 5 16:28 8
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
18 Havirov 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
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