Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Scholz J.
Assist: Deichmann Y.
18' Event
Costly M.
Assist: Kaygin D.
31'
Sub
Hlozek A. In: Micheler F.
Out: Hlozek A.

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hoffenheim II
20%
Draws
50%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ingolstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hoffenheim II haven't matched Ingolstadt's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 10%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim II Ingolstadt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Costly M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scholz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim II 29 / 100
Ingolstadt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim II Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim II scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ingolstadt has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Hoffenheim II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim II VS Ingolstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim II

(Home)
15 Aug
Dusseldorf
0 : 2
Hoffenheim II
09 Aug
Hoffenheim II
2 : 3
Hansa Rostock
01 Aug
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Hoffenheim II
25 Jul
Freiburg II
3 : 0
Hoffenheim II
18 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 0
Hoffenheim II
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Ingolstadt

(Away)
15 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 1
Ingolstadt
08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
Ingolstadt
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)