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Stadium Background

Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Scholz J.
Assist: Deichmann Y.
18' Event
Costly M.
Assist: Kaygin D.
31'
Sub
Hlozek A. In: Micheler F.
Out: Hlozek A.

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Hoffenheim II
15%
Draws
20%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Hoffenheim II haven't matched Ingolstadt's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hoffenheim II's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ingolstadt have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 20%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim II Ingolstadt
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Costly M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scholz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim II 76 / 100
Ingolstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim II Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim II scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ingolstadt conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Hoffenheim II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim II VS Ingolstadt
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim II

(Home)
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
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Ingolstadt

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)