Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim II vs RW Essen

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Zeitler D.
26'
Janssen M.
29'
Reisig R.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Hoffenheim II and RW Essen finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hoffenheim II
30%
Draws
37%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • RW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hoffenheim II's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 13%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim II RW Essen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.6 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs RW Essen
2:4
Oct 1, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Hoffenheim II
3:1
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
RW Essen vs Hoffenheim II
0:0
Sep 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim II vs RW Essen
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeitler D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Janssen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Musel T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim II 35 / 100
RW Essen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim II RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim II scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

RW Essen let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hoffenheim II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim II VS RW Essen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim II

(Home)
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
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RW Essen

(Away)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)