Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim vs Elversberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Keidel F.
15' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
38' Event
Adam R.

AI Match Summary

Elversberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Hoffenheim
17%
Draws
70%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elversberg lately — more wins on the board than Hoffenheim.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Elversberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Elversberg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
3:5
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
5:2
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Elversberg vs Hoffenheim
1:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
1:2
Dec 14, 2022 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Promel G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemperle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Keidel F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mokwa Ntusu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 14 / 100
Elversberg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Hoffenheim stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Elversberg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3
Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0
Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0
Werder Bremen
02 May
Hoffenheim
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
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Elversberg

(Away)
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
17 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 1
Elversberg
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5
Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0
Preussen Munster
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