Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim vs Elversberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Keidel F.
15' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
38' Event
Adam R.

AI Match Summary

Elversberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hoffenheim
15%
Draws
57%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elversberg lately — more wins on the board than Hoffenheim.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elversberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Elversberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
3:5
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
5:2
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Elversberg vs Hoffenheim
1:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
1:2
Dec 14, 2022 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Elversberg
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Promel G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemperle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Keidel F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mokwa Ntusu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 26 / 100
Elversberg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hoffenheim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Elversberg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
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Elversberg

(Away)
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
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