Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sugawara Y.
12'
12'
Sub
Musah S. In: Schmidt I.
Out: Musah S.
26'
26'
Toure B.
Assist: Kramaric A.
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Hoffenheim have won more games recently than Werder Bremen.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Werder Bremen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hoffenheim have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 15%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
1:0
Jan 27, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:2
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Werder Bremen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 23 / 100
Werder Bremen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim Werder Bremen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Hoffenheim has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS Werder Bremen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
02 May
Hoffenheim
3 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
18 Apr
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 3
Werder Bremen
(Away) 08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Okayama
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
26 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
12 Apr
1. FC Koln
3 : 1 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
