Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sugawara Y.
12'
12'
Sub
Musah S. In: Schmidt I.
Out: Musah S.
26'
26'
Toure B.
Assist: Kramaric A.
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Hoffenheim have won more games recently than Werder Bremen.
- 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hoffenheim have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 12%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
1:0
Jan 27, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:2
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Werder Bremen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 35 / 100
Werder Bremen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim Werder Bremen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Werder Bremen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Hoffenheim has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS Werder Bremen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 3
Werder Bremen
(Away) 19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2 Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
