Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoganas vs Vinbergs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hoganas
15%
Draws
64%
Vinbergs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hoganas haven't matched Vinbergs's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 15%
Vinbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoganas Vinbergs
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Vinbergs
2:2
Jun 13, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Vinbergs vs Hoganas
3:0
Sep 2, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Vinbergs
1:3
May 20, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Vinbergs vs Hoganas
2:1
Jun 28, 2016 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Vinbergs
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoganas 31 / 100
Vinbergs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoganas Vinbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinbergs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vinbergs conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hoganas found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Vinbergs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoganas VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoganas

(Home)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
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Vinbergs

(Away)
05 Feb
Tvaaker
3 : 0
Vinbergs
28 Nov
BK Astrio
2 : 0
Vinbergs
20 Nov
Vinbergs
0 : 1
Frolunda
06 Nov
Vinbergs
0 : 3
Eskilsminne
30 Oct
Vinbergs
5 : 1
Assyriska BK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angelholm 28 21 5 2 82:25 68
2 Eskilsminne 28 17 6 5 66:28 57
3 Husqvarna 28 17 4 7 46:29 55
4 Onsala 28 15 2 11 64:48 47
5 BK Astrio 28 12 8 8 50:45 44
6 Savedalen 28 13 3 12 47:46 42
7 Torslanda 28 11 6 11 45:45 39
8 Ullareds IK 28 11 5 12 42:52 38
9 Varbergs GIF 28 12 1 15 50:72 37
10 Hoganas 28 9 5 14 54:69 32
11 Frolunda 28 8 7 13 40:52 31
12 Assyriska BK 28 8 7 13 44:58 31
13 Vinbergs 28 6 8 14 37:49 26
14 Dalstorps 28 7 2 19 45:65 23
15 Tord 28 6 5 17 33:62 23
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2021 (Relegation)