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Hogar Alcarreno vs Conquense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conquense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Hogar Alcarreno
20%
Draws
73%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Conquense lately — more wins on the board than Hogar Alcarreno.
  • Conquense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 20%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogar Alcarreno Conquense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hogar Alcarreno vs Conquense
0:3
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Hogar Alcarreno
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogar Alcarreno 10 / 100
Conquense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogar Alcarreno Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogar Alcarreno scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Hogar Alcarreno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Conquense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogar Alcarreno

(Home)
30 Apr
Illescas
2 : 0
Hogar Alcarreno
23 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
2 : 2
Villacanas
10 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
6 : 1
Hogar Alcarreno
02 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
0 : 3
Conquense
27 Mar
UD Almansa
3 : 2
Hogar Alcarreno
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Conquense

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)