Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022

Hogar Alcarreno

2 - 0

Miguelturreno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hogar Alcarreno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hogar Alcarreno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Hogar Alcarreno

33%

Draws

27%

Miguelturreno

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hogar Alcarreno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Miguelturreno lately — more wins on the board than Hogar Alcarreno.
Hogar Alcarreno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 68%

Miguelturreno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hogar Alcarreno	Miguelturreno
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	6
Draws	5	4
Losses	21	20
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	3.13	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Hogar Alcarreno vs Miguelturreno

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Miguelturreno vs Hogar Alcarreno

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogar Alcarreno 50 / 100

Miguelturreno 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hogar Alcarreno Miguelturreno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miguelturreno let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Hogar Alcarreno found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hogar Alcarreno stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hogar Alcarreno VS Miguelturreno

1 Goals Scored 1

3.13 Goals Conceded 3.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	23	8	3	71:19	77
2	Quintanar del Rey	34	21	7	6	63:29	70
3	Illescas	34	20	7	7	56:33	67
4	Villarrobledo	34	18	10	6	53:25	64
5	Torrijos	34	17	9	8	50:30	60
6	Conquense	34	15	11	8	49:30	56
7	Villarrubia	34	16	7	11	45:38	55
8	Azuqueca	34	16	6	12	55:40	54
9	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	15	9	10	50:26	54
10	CD Tarancon	34	16	3	15	46:45	51
11	Villacanas	34	13	7	14	47:51	46
12	Albacete B	34	11	11	12	47:40	44
13	UD Almansa	34	12	7	15	44:51	43
14	Huracan de Balazote	34	10	7	17	52:56	37
15	San Clemente	34	10	6	18	30:50	36
16	Miguelturreno	34	7	4	23	35:67	25
17	Hogar Alcarreno	34	4	5	25	29:90	17
18	La Roda	34	0	0	34	0:102	0