Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022

Hogar Alcarreno

2 - 2

Villarrubia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Hogar Alcarreno

11%

Draws

80%

Villarrubia

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Villarrubia have won more games recently than Hogar Alcarreno.
Model gives Villarrubia a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 20%

Villarrubia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hogar Alcarreno	Villarrubia
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	4	13
Draws	5	9
Losses	21	11
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Hogar Alcarreno vs Villarrubia

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Sep 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs Hogar Alcarreno

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogar Alcarreno 12 / 100

Villarrubia 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hogar Alcarreno Villarrubia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hogar Alcarreno scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Villarrubia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Hogar Alcarreno remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrubia

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	23	8	3	71:19	77
2	Quintanar del Rey	34	21	7	6	63:29	70
3	Illescas	34	20	7	7	56:33	67
4	Villarrobledo	34	18	10	6	53:25	64
5	Torrijos	34	17	9	8	50:30	60
6	Conquense	34	15	11	8	49:30	56
7	Villarrubia	34	16	7	11	45:38	55
8	Azuqueca	34	16	6	12	55:40	54
9	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	15	9	10	50:26	54
10	CD Tarancon	34	16	3	15	46:45	51
11	Villacanas	34	13	7	14	47:51	46
12	Albacete B	34	11	11	12	47:40	44
13	UD Almansa	34	12	7	15	44:51	43
14	Huracan de Balazote	34	10	7	17	52:56	37
15	San Clemente	34	10	6	18	30:50	36
16	Miguelturreno	34	7	4	23	35:67	25
17	Hogar Alcarreno	34	4	5	25	29:90	17
18	La Roda	34	0	0	34	0:102	0