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Hogges vs NJ-LUSO Parma

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Premier Development League 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hogges
15%
Draws
0%
NJ-LUSO Parma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NJ-LUSO Parma have won more games recently than Hogges.
  • Hogges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hogges Clean Sheet 20%
NJ-LUSO Parma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogges NJ-LUSO Parma
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2013 USL League Two
NJ-LUSO Parma vs Hogges
0:0
Jun 2, 2013 USL League Two
Hogges vs NJ-LUSO Parma
0:0
Jun 24, 2012 USL League Two
NJ-LUSO Parma vs Hogges
3:1
May 19, 2012 USL League Two
Hogges vs NJ-LUSO Parma
1:1
Jul 2, 2011 USL League Two
NJ-LUSO Parma vs Hogges
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogges 85 / 100
NJ-LUSO Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogges NJ-LUSO Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NJ-LUSO Parma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: NJ-LUSO Parma registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hogges found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (16 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hogges VS NJ-LUSO Parma
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogges

(Home)
16 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Westchester Flames
08 Jul
Hogges
2 : 1
Baltimore Bohemians
06 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Long Island
01 Jul
Ocean City
4 : 0
Hogges
29 Jun
Reading
4 : 0
Hogges
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NJ-LUSO Parma

(Away)
20 Jul
Euro New York
4 : 3
NJ-LUSO Parma
19 Jul
Reading
3 : 0
NJ-LUSO Parma
12 Jul
Long Island
8 : 0
NJ-LUSO Parma
10 Jul
Jersey Express
5 : 0
NJ-LUSO Parma
05 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 0
NJ-LUSO Parma
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