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Hogo Hertha Wels vs A. Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Huber-Arena, Wels
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Gobara P.
46'
Sub
Spitali S. In: Rohrmoser T.
Out: Spitali S.
53'
Wernitznig C.

AI Match Summary

A. Salzburg in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored A. Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hogo Hertha Wels
30%
Draws
29%
A. Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hogo Hertha Wels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Salzburg lately — more wins on the board than Hogo Hertha Wels.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%
A. Salzburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogo Hertha Wels A. Salzburg
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Hogo Hertha Wels vs A. Salzburg
3:3
Aug 2, 2026 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs A. Salzburg
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs A. Salzburg
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs Hogo Hertha Wels
4:2
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
A. Salzburg vs Hogo Hertha Wels
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

A. Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Crnkic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gebauer C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogo Hertha Wels 29 / 100
A. Salzburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogo Hertha Wels A. Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogo Hertha Wels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

A. Salzburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Hogo Hertha Wels stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hogo Hertha Wels VS A. Salzburg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Home)
10 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0
SW Bregenz
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
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A. Salzburg

(Away)
10 Oct
A. Salzburg
2 : 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
19 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 1
A. Salzburg
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
05 Sept
A. Salzburg
0 : 4
First Vienna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 First Vienna 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Wacker Innsbruck 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
6 A. Salzburg 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
7 Amstetten 8 3 4 1 15:12 13
8 FC Liefering 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 SW Bregenz 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
10 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
11 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
12 St. Polten 8 3 0 5 7:9 9
13 Sturm II 8 2 2 4 16:21 8
14 Hogo Hertha Wels 8 2 1 5 9:17 7
15 Rapid Vienna II 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
16 Kapfenberg 8 1 0 7 9:18 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)