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Hogo Hertha Wels vs Sturm II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Huber-Arena, Wels
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hogo Hertha Wels host Sturm II in the 2. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Hogo Hertha Wels have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against Sturm II's 1.07 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Hogo Hertha Wels have won 2 to Sturm II's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.75, favoring Hogo Hertha Wels. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Hogo Hertha Wels
35%
Draws
13%
Sturm II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hogo Hertha Wels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hogo Hertha Wels lately — more wins on the board than Sturm II.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Hogo Hertha Wels taking it.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 12%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogo Hertha Wels Sturm II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Sturm II
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs Hogo Hertha Wels
0:3
Jun 3, 2022 Regionalliga Central
Sturm II vs Hogo Hertha Wels
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Regionalliga Central
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Sturm II
1:1
May 15, 2021 Regionalliga Central
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Sturm II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogo Hertha Wels 47 / 100
Sturm II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogo Hertha Wels Sturm II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogo Hertha Wels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sturm II conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hogo Hertha Wels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hogo Hertha Wels VS Sturm II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Home)
27 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
23 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
2 : 6
ASK Voitsberg
16 Oct
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 2
Hogo Hertha Wels
10 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0
SW Bregenz
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
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Sturm II

(Away)
23 Oct
Austria Vienna (Am)
1 : 0
Sturm II
18 Oct
Sturm II
0 : 2
Kapfenberg
10 Oct
FC Liefering
3 : 1
Sturm II
19 Sept
Sturm II
2 : 2
Wacker Innsbruck
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 10 8 1 1 26:6 25
2 First Vienna 10 8 1 1 21:9 25
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
4 Admira 10 6 0 4 13:10 18
5 Amstetten 10 4 5 1 18:14 17
6 A. Salzburg 10 5 1 4 17:14 16
7 Wacker Innsbruck 10 4 2 4 12:11 14
8 FC Liefering 10 4 2 4 20:22 14
9 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
10 ASK Voitsberg 10 3 3 4 19:19 12
11 SW Bregenz 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
12 St. Polten 10 3 2 5 8:10 11
13 Sturm II 10 2 2 6 16:24 8
14 Hogo Hertha Wels 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
15 Kapfenberg 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
16 Rapid Vienna II 10 2 1 7 10:22 7
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)