Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hogsby vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Hogsby Logo

Hogsby

1 - 0
FT
Karlskrona Logo

Karlskrona

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hogsby in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hogsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hogsby
15%
Draws
58%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlskrona have won more games recently than Hogsby.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 18%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogsby Karlskrona
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 8 27
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.18 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Hogsby
5:2
May 25, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs Karlskrona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogsby 10 / 100
Karlskrona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogsby Karlskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Hogsby scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 67% of their last 42 outings.

Hogsby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlskrona
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogsby

(Home)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
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Karlskrona

(Away)
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)