Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hogsby vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simrishamn in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hogsby
20%
Draws
10%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hogsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Hogsby haven't matched Simrishamn's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hogsby's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Simrishamn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Simrishamn, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogsby Simrishamn
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.18 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs Simrishamn
0:5
Oct 22, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Hogsby
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogsby 76 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogsby Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simrishamn has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hogsby scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Hogsby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Simrishamn
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogsby

(Home)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
Page 1 of 6

Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Simrishamn 10
Hogsby 2