Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium, Sapporo

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

4 - 3

Omiya Ardija

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Umetsu R.

Assist: Kido S.

39'

Puethong T.

Assist: Park Min-Gyu

44'

Arano T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

39%

Draws

31%

Omiya Ardija

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Omiya Ardija's 1.88.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 16%

Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	Omiya Ardija
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	15
Draws	2	1
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	2.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija

4:3

Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

3:2

Aug 30, 2025 J2 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija

1:0

Apr 25, 2025 J2 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1:0

Jul 8, 2017 J1 League

Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Umetsu R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Puethong T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hidaka H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 30 / 100

Omiya Ardija 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Omiya Ardija has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Omiya Ardija

2.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)

25 Jul

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1 : 0

Nagoya Grampus

18 Jul

Vissel Kobe

1 : 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

06 Jun

Albirex Niigata

1 : 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

31 May

Blaublitz

2 : 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

23 May

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

0 : 1

Iwata

Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija

(Away)

06 Jun

Omiya Ardija

2 : 1

Kochi United

30 May

Yokohama FC

2 : 1

Omiya Ardija

23 May

Gifu

0 : 2

Omiya Ardija

17 May

Omiya Ardija

1 : 2

Nagano Parceiro

09 May

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

4 : 3

Omiya Ardija

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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